Indian Power Sector: Impact and Revival due to COVID-19


Indian Power Sector
Electrical-transmission-towers-electricity-pylons
The pace of all economic activity in the country has increased after the subsequent expansion of the omnibus lockout announced by the Prime Minister on 24 March 2020 as a precaution against COVID-19. The recently released Industrial Production Index (IIP) shows that during April 20, more than 55% of economic output contracted year-on-year. This contraction is reflected in all sectors including manufacturing, mining, and power generation. Indian Power Sector

While this is a cause for concern, we should try not to restrict our analysis to the numbers alone. As stated in the government's advice, "indices should not be compared to previous months,” as this is not a true reflection of the state of the economy. If anything, these numbers report the efficacy of lockdown. It is hoped that with the reopening of the economy, employment and demand can be revived, especially in the manufacturing sector.

However, it depends on various factors, including strengthening the country's long-term growth prospects and measures to increase investment and consumer confidence through proper implementation of the government's 'Aatma Nirbhar Bharat Abhiyan'. Indian Power Sector

But the effect of the lockdown, which itself was reduced to 22.5% in April 2020. It examines the causes of contraction, its impact on different parts of the value chain, and the prospects for revival.

As a starting point, it was expected that commercial, industrial, and transportation (about 500 million units per demand day) activity in the country would be affected by the demand for electricity, due to restrictions on demand, and production lockdown. Besides, the demand profile is natural due to domestic consumption (24.8 percent in 2018-19), commercial (8.2 percent in 2018-19), and industrial (41.2 percent in 2018-19) consumption. An unnatural mantra of calm the weather until the end of April, also ensures that electricity demand remains below normal. Indian Power Sector

To ensure uninterrupted operation for public utilities, including power generation, transmission, and distribution services, essential services were classified during lock-down but demand and government clarifications state that "must go" for renewable energy projects The situation remained unchanged (meaning electricity produced from renewable sources should be prioritized over the use of other sources), resulting in a general energy mix change. About 72.5 percent of the energy mix, coal / thermal power plant shares had fallen below 66 percent in the one-month period before the lock-down. This decrease was due to an increase in the share of all other sources, including hydro from 8.7 percent to 11.6 percent, renewable from 9.4 percent to 10.9 percent, nuclear from 3.3 percent to 4 percent, and gas from 3.8 percent to 5.1 percent in absolute terms, thermal power generation decreased by 25 percent compared to month-on-month on both sides of the lock-down declaration. Renewable energy, which includes solar, wind, small hydro, and bio-gas, saw a decrease in total production (about 4 percent), but a slight increase in solar production. Indian Power Sector

Indian Power Sector
Thermal Power with Solar-Panel

Strained the health of electric utilities has been adversely affected for several reasons. While mainly due to lack of revenue collection from high tariff C&I consumers (who subsidize low tariff domestic and agricultural consumers), high aggregate, technical and commercial losses (low efficiency of power system supplying domestic consumers), among others, were opposed to C&I consumers, with the increase in subsidized consumers offering lower tariffs.

Besides, the old methods of manual metering and billing and the domestic credit crunch have also increased the revenue collection problem from residential consumers. To help ease the financial stress, the Ministry of Power has announced a liquidity support package of INR 90,000 crore for discoms and reduced the penalty of late payment for companies and payments to create transmission licenses. However, the lack of liquidity is bound to affect capacity addition plans in the sector as a whole.

With the gradual reduction of lockdowns across the country, electricity demand is already booming, largely on the back of rising industrial activity. Residential demand is also expected to increase due to hot weather. In fact, the peak demand observed on 25 May was higher than the peak demand on a single day in 2019. Although commercial areas include offices, shopping malls, they can reduce demand, keeping in mind the demand of people for some time at home with distance work and online education. But there is a clear indication that the power sector will bounce back to pre-COVID-19 levels if the previous year's level is not attained.

Keeping an eye on electricity demand in the next few months is a clear indication of the level of the revival of the Indian economy. Such clues will be found and whether government interventions are having the desired effect.

As a side note, the government, and other stakeholders must use learning to bail out the sector. Policy changes, business modifications, and technological innovations need to be considered to make the sector more cost and resource-efficient. There is a need to revisit the already addressed DISCOM loan problem under the UDAY scheme. The cross-subsidy challenge and new tariffs and market mechanisms require immediate attention.

Indian Power Sector
Nuclear Power

Besides, the application of innovation in the value chain needs to be accelerated by the digitization of grid operations, smart grids, energy efficiency interventions, and the adoption of advanced metering. This crisis allows the adoption of renewable energy and energy storage keeping in mind the low cost of operating renewable power plants, the capacity reduction factor of coal power plants in the country (estimated 56.5 percent) 2020–21 epidemic), and India Commitment to global climate change goals.

Stepping up to endless opportunities:

Electrification of all non-irrigated villages on April 28, 2018, ahead of May 1, 2018 deadline, led by India's commitment to global climate change goals made. A total of 25 states have achieved 100% domestic electrification.

In 2018-19, the Ministry of Power had set a power generation target of 1,265 billion units (BU). The actual generation (1,249.337 BU) represented an achievement of 98.76% and an increase of approximately 3.57% from 2017.

India jumps 115 positions to 22nd (2019) from 137th (2014) in the World Bank's Ease of Doing Business - 'Getting Electricity' ranking. Besides, India's electricity sector is forecasted to attract an investment of $ 128.24-135.37 bn between FY 19-23.

According to the latest major world energy figures published by IEA in 2019, India is the third-largest in the world. It is a large producer and ranked 106th in terms of per capita consumption in 2017.

A total of $ 10.21 Bn (DDUGJY: $ 5.79 Bn and RE component: $ 4.42 Bn) under the Deendayal Upadhyay Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY) scheme. With an outlay, projects with a total cost of $ 5.85 Bn have been approved in 32 states / UTs.

In addition to the above, an additional amount of $ 1.92 Bn to build additional infrastructure to support 100% domestic electrification.

100% FDI is allowed in the power generation sector which is registered in the transmission and distribution of electrical energy and electricity trade under one generation (excluding nuclear power), automatic route

Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (Power Market) Regulations, 2010 from all sources. Power exchange under automatic routes under permission.

Indian Power Sector
 Thermal Power-Super-Critical

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

Last updated: October 2020

Introduction of FDI in India   Indian Power Sector

Apart from being an important driver of economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI) has been a major non-debt financial resource for India's economic development. Foreign companies invest in India to require an advantage of relatively low wages, special investment privileges like tax exemption, etc. For a country where foreign investment is being made, it also means acquiring technical knowledge and generating employment.

The favorable policy governance and strong business environment of the Government of India have ensured that foreign capital flows into the country. The government has taken several initiatives in recent years to relax FDI norms in sectors like defence, PSU oil refineries, telecommunications, power exchanges, and stock exchanges.

According to the Market Size Department of Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT), FDI equity inflows into India were the US$ 469.99 billion between April 2000 and March 2020, indicating the government's ease of doing business and improving FDI effort standard results.

As a result, FDI equity inflows into India stood at US$ 49.97 billion in 2019-20. Data for 2019-20 indicate that the services sector attracted the highest FDI equity inflows of US$ 7.85 billion, followed by computer software and hardware for the US$ 7.67 billion, the telecommunications sector for the US$ 4.44 billion, and US$ 4.57 billion were traded.

During 2019-20, India received maximum FDI equity inflows from Singapore (US$ 14.67 billion), followed by Mauritius (US$ 8.24 billion), Netherlands (US$ 6.50 billion), USA (US$ 4.22 billion), and Japan (US$ 3.22 billion).

Investment/Development of Indian Power Sector

Some of the recent significant FDI announcements are as follows:

Ø  On September 08, 2020, Byju’s (an Indian education technology firm) raised funds under the leadership of US-based private equity company Silver Lake. Raised the US $ 500 million in a new round; this move brought the company's valuation to $ 10.8 billion.

Ø  In September 2020, Cashaa, a London-based Neobank, launched O1ex, a Dubai-based block-chain investment, and advisory firm to expand worldwide, including India, Africa, and the Caribbean Raised by $ 5 million (Rs. 360 million) markets In India, the company plans to tap into the growing crypto user market by launching a new bank for the crypto banking system.

Ø  In September 2020, Unacademy, an Edtech platform raised US$ 150 million from Softbank Group (a Japanese conglomerate), raised its valuation to US$ 1.45 billion.

Ø  On 21 August 2020, Singapore the government announced an investment of 4.5 billion (US$ 63.84 million) in an eligible institutional placement (QIP) offering from mall developer Phoenix Mills Limited.

Ø  Israel-based Core Logic, a provider of machine learning-based log analytics and monitoring solutions announced a strategic expansion in India on 14 August 2020 with a commitment to take a position quite the US$ 30 million over subsequent five years.

Ø  From January 2020 to July 2020, the US FDI in India has crossed the US$ 40 billion, reflecting the high level of trust of US corporations in the country. India saw an 18% increase in FDI from April 2020 to June 2020 (during the COVID-19 epidemic). In mid-July 2020, FDI by technology firms amounted to ~ US$ 17 billion, driven by a US$ 10 billion investment by Google, and other major investors included firms such as Foxconn, Amazon, and Facebook.

Ø  India Inc’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) dropped to US$ 5.724 billion in the first four months (April 2020 – July 20120) of 2020-2021 against US$ 11.130 billion for the same period in 2019–2020.

Ø  OFDI was caused by a slow-moving epidemic stalling in the first three months (April 2020: the US$ 1.018 billion; May 2020: the US$ 1.294 billion; and June 2020: the US$ 893.18 million); Substantial growth was recorded until July 2020 when OFDI reached the US $ 2.518 billion, as economies around the world, began to unlock, and COVID-19 lock-down restrictions on operations began to soften.

Indian Power Sector
Coal-fired thermal Power


Government Initiative:  Indian Power Sector

In August 2020, the Commercial Coal Mining Policy was amended by the Government of India in the Foreign Direct Investment Policy, 2017, under which it was approved only under the government route. In 2019, the central government amended the FDI Policy 2017 to allow 100% FDI under the automatic route in coal mining activities.

In May 2020, the government increased FDI in the defense manufacturing sector from automatic 49% to 74% under the automatic route.

In April 2020, the government amended the existing consolidated FDI policy to restrict opportunistic acquisitions of neighboring countries or acquisitions of Indian companies.

In March 2020, the government allowed NRIs to hold a 100% stake in Air India.

Also, Read

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*The state of power generation in India is not only economically, but due to the dependence of social and environmental factors on the thermal sector for electricity, India is gradually becoming aware and smart to ensure sustainable development and on the other hand, Our country's capacity as hydroelectric is growing rapidly, therefore, plans are gradually expanding its base towards renewable energy generation.* Thermal Power Generation Plant *India** has an additional power generation capacity but lacks adequate distribution infrastructure. To address this, the Government of India.

Indian Power Sector: Impact and Revival due to COVID-19

Lalit Upadhyay, Creative Writer Since 2020 {Art & Culture} - 3 hours ago

[image: Indian Power Sector] Electrical-transmission-towers-electricity-pylons*The pace of all economic activity in the country has increased after the subsequent expansion of the omnibus lockout announced by the Prime Minister on 24 March 2020 as a precaution against COVID-19. The recently released Industrial Production Index (IIP) shows that during April 20, more than 55% of economic output contracted year-on-year. This contraction is reflected in all sectors including manufacturing, mining, and power generation. * *While this is a cause for concern, we should try not to restric.

 



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Lalit Upadhyay

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